Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006586 0.007346 0.008173 0.009144 0.010255 0.011491 0.012975
2025-06-08 0.005187 0.006177 0.007343 0.008829 0.010686 0.012950 0.015951
2025-06-15 0.004531 0.005633 0.007001 0.008845 0.011296 0.014488 0.019035
2025-06-22 0.004187 0.005395 0.006959 0.009170 0.012268 0.016542 0.023036
2025-06-29 0.003745 0.004960 0.006590 0.008981 0.012479 0.017537 0.025652
2025-07-06 0.003386 0.004593 0.006260 0.008789 0.012630 0.018424 0.028190
2025-07-13 0.003142 0.004357 0.006083 0.008782 0.013032 0.019712 0.031528
2025-07-20 0.002997 0.004247 0.006070 0.009009 0.013806 0.021663 0.036266
2025-07-27 0.002793 0.004029 0.005872 0.008922 0.014056 0.022766 0.039673
2025-08-03 0.002632 0.003862 0.005736 0.008915 0.014427 0.024111 0.043732
2025-08-10 0.002467 0.003675 0.005551 0.008805 0.014601 0.025112 0.047276
2025-08-17 0.002364 0.003576 0.005497 0.008907 0.015154 0.026875 0.052672
2025-08-24 0.002227 0.003420 0.005345 0.008841 0.015425 0.028195 0.057529
2025-08-31 0.002057 0.003199 0.005071 0.008538 0.015222 0.028565 0.060385
2025-09-07 0.001960 0.003091 0.004980 0.008554 0.015633 0.030241 0.066640
2025-09-14 0.001920 0.003076 0.005046 0.008866 0.016669 0.033399 0.077268
2025-09-21 0.001806 0.002926 0.004863 0.008685 0.016666 0.034264 0.082184
2025-09-28 0.001702 0.002786 0.004687 0.008500 0.016633 0.035051 0.087077
2025-10-05 0.001631 0.002701 0.004604 0.008493 0.016984 0.036794 0.095117
2025-10-12 0.001595 0.002676 0.004632 0.008712 0.017860 0.039955 0.108246
2025-10-19 0.001523 0.002581 0.004519 0.008628 0.018036 0.041382 0.116377
2025-10-26 0.001466 0.002510 0.004446 0.008622 0.018391 0.043333 0.126806
2025-11-02 0.001401 0.002420 0.004332 0.008516 0.018493 0.044620 0.135346